E-CUBE Biomethane Analytics

E-CUBE delivers independent, scenario-based forecasts of biomethane prices, price curves and volumes (2025–2050), integrating molecules, Guarantees of Origin (GoO / RGGO) and Proofs of Sustainability (PoS) across all major European markets.


Our model captures the full regulatory and market complexity (e.g. IRICC/TIRUERT, THG Quoten, ERE/HBE, RTFO, building and maritime schemes) to support robust investment decisions, portfolio valuation and Biomethane Purchase Agreement structuring.

Our value proposition

2025-2050 biomethane pricing and volumes’ forecast analysis (molecule + Guarantee of Origin – GoO / RGGO + Proof of Sustainability – PoS) for robust business planning across countries, markets and production types

Biomethane is a recent market with a fast-evolving environment: our model enables investors and developers to stay abreast of constantly evolving European biomethane dynamics impacting short-and long-term price trends

 

Transaction Support

  • Support to due diligence operations (transactions & financing) – providing involved parties in a transaction with expert independent projections of biomethane volumes and prices across markets and time horizons

Biomethane Purchase Agreements

  • Support Biomethane Purchase Agreement (BPA) contractualization processes by providing expert independent scenarios to project future prices and market trends

Strategy

  • Provide biomethane project developers and producers with a global picture of competition and consumption trends (volumes and pricing) to support strategic choices (ambition, geography, type of production, portfolio acquisition etc.)

 

Portfolio Valuation

  • Forecast the value of biomethane volumes after the end of public tariffs or BPA contract duration

 

E-CUBE’S MODELLING FRAMEWORK

What does the service include?

What we provide

  • Highly configurable analysis based on E-CUBE’s modelling and tailored to your internal market assumptions, under several scenarios
  • One-on-one workshops with E-CUBE’s biomethane experts
  • Market-analysis report including outputs and insights + detailed set of assumptions (Powerpoint and Excel format)

 

Our typical project process

E-CUBE See typical content of a Market analysis report

    Click here download

    Result illustrations

    Key advantages

    Unique model addressing the complexity of European biomethane markets

    • Modelling of demand curve by country and target market, including detailed competition from other energy carriers (electricity, liquid biofuels etc)
    • Modelling of supply curve by country, CI score and cost
    • Country and sector-specific targets, subsidies and certificates (e.g. TIRUERT/IRICC, THG Quoten, HBE…)
    • Compatibility matrix between supply and demand by country, feedstock, CI score
    • Representation of short-to medium-run market imperfections that condition international trade and prices

     

    Up-to-date content backed with market experience reflecting current market conditions

    • Data and market structures are regularly updated to reflect regulatory & market changes
    • Results are backtested and calibrated against historical and current price trends
    • Inputs are based on real-world supply-side and demand-side market experience

     

    Biomethane expertise & track record

    • 15 years of biomethane expertise serving project developers, investors and infrastructure operators across Europe
    • A wide range of Europe’s biomethane players are using E-CUBE’s model to assess market opportunities

     

    Geographical coverage:

    Countries covered as of December 2025:

    • Belgium
    • Denmark
    • France
    • Germany
    • Italy
    • Netherlands
    • Poland
    • Spain
    • UK
    • Rest of Europe

    Our Biomethane experts